Black Friday Cyber Monday 2025 will test both sides of the checkout counter
This holiday shopping season stands to push both consumers and retailers alike. Holiday spending is expected to rise only 1.2% year over year, down from 4% growth in 2024, but that growth masks a deep divide: while some consumers are ready to splurge, over 60% expect to change or have already cut back due to rising prices and tariff fears, and 51% are slashing non-essential purchases. At the same time, marketers are under pressure—with tighter budgets, leaner teams, and rising CAC, efficiency matters more than ever. Focusing on customers is what will set retailers apart.
In this economic landscape, referral and loyalty programs aren’t just retention levers—they’re strategic growth channels. Trusted recommendations, mobile-first experiences, and intelligent retention programs can help brands acquire customers at lower CAC while deepening engagement with existing ones. Continue reading to learn top trends for BFCM (Black Friday-Cyber Monday) referral and loyalty programs.
1. Convert value shoppers with trusted offers
BFCM brings a surge in site traffic—but also heightened consumer selectivity. Shoppers are actively hunting for value and relying on recommendations they trust. Well-executed referral programs capitalize on this influx by driving more sharing, more social validation, and ultimately more second-order acquisition. By combining perceived deal value with the credibility of word of mouth, referral offers become a powerful tool for converting budget-conscious buyers at scale during the most competitive shopping period of the year. Try adding these strategic referral ideas to your marketing programs:
- Offer seasonal campaigns with elevated referral incentives (e.g. “Double Credits This Week”).
- Launch a time-bound referral campaign around pertinent holidays in the lead up to Black Friday to build early momentum.
- Promote elevated incentives (e.g., early access, double credits, giveaways) during peak BFCM days to drive sharing and conversion.
- Surface referral CTAs across emails, dashboards, and post-purchase flows to capitalize on increased traffic.


2. Drive engagement and conversion where shoppers are most responsive
Mobile is no longer just the dominant device—it’s the decisive one. Recent data shows that nearly 70% of ecommerce traffic now comes from mobile, and over half of all holiday sales are completed on phones. That makes mobile the frontline for loyalty activation. Whether it’s redeeming points, responding to a push notification, or sharing with friends, the most effective programs meet customers in motion—fast, seamless, and conversion-ready. Try adding the following mobile marketing strategies to your BFCM referral and loyalty marketing plans.
- Use mobile push and SMS to trigger timely offers, point reminders, or redemption prompts during peak hours.
- Let customers share referral offers face-to-face by showing personalized QR codes—no emailing or texting required.


3. Leverage the trust shoppers place in each other
In a year defined by economic pressure, shoppers are turning to each other to discover what’s truly worth buying. Whether it’s a friend sharing a referral link, a creator posting a promo code, or a Reddit thread debating the “best value,” purchase decisions are increasingly shaped by community trust.
The most effective brands won’t just compete on price—they’ll compete on validation. Referral programs, influencer campaigns, and user-generated content (UGC) all help surface value in social spaces, where selective shoppers are actively looking for signals they can trust. Try the following strategies to stand out this year.
- Highlight the referring friend’s name post-click to reinforce trust, build connection, and boost conversion.
- Partner with loyal advocates and content creators to promote referral codes and giftable offers during peak discovery periods.
- Frame referral rewards as shareable gifts—easy to pass along during deal-hunting season and more compelling than generic discounts.
- Inspire customers to share specific products or categories they love—paired with referral incentives—to help others find trusted, high-value picks.

4. Reinforce value perception through exclusive rewards and reassurance
Rising prices and tariff-related uncertainty are reshaping how shoppers define value. In a climate where even loyal customers are rethinking purchases, loyalty programs can serve as a stabilizing force—offering members a sense of predictability, access, and advantage.
Rather than racing to the bottom with steeper discounts, brands can use loyalty to communicate consistency, reward long-term engagement, and make customers feel protected from rising costs—even if the actual price doesn’t change. Try adding these strategic customer-loyalty ideas to your marketing programs:
- Position and promote loyalty programs as a way to lock in value —even when prices fluctuate.
- Offer 2x or 3x point events during BFCM to reward spending without lowering AOV.
- Give members peace of mind with perks like price locks or extended return windows.
- Let members combine loyalty benefits with BFCM promos for a sense of VIP advantage.
- Display real-time, personalized point values on PDP pages based on login status, tier, and promotions to boost conversions, and AOV,.

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Customer advocacy in action
In this environment, trusted recommendations become currency. Consumers are seeking smarter, safer ways to shop—turning to friends, family, and reward-driven programs to validate their decisions and stretch their dollars.
Referral and loyalty programs offer brands a rare advantage to build trust, drive action, and lower CAC at the exact moment paid channels are under pressure. Do you want more of the above strategies to help transform your 2025 BCFM strategy? With Friendbuy as your strategic partner, you can implement these strategies and turn your customers into your most effective growth channel.
Contact us today to schedule your strategic consultation and discover how Friendbuy can help you make Black Friday Cyber Monday 2025 your most successful yet.
